Our Approach

Our approach connects institutional partnerships, evidence-informed planning, adaptive delivery, and transparent learning.

Our Strategic Approach

From regulatory grounding to predictive modelling and peer-reviewed advocacy: how THRIVE executes high-impact health solutions.

01

Institutional Partnerships & Regulatory Integration

Grounded in official governance, regional endorsement, and local leadership.

Regional Regulatory Framework

Supported by a 2-year Memorandum of Understanding (MoU) with the Regional Delegation of Public Health for the Adamawa Region, officially recognising THRIVE as a key public health partner.

District-Level Strategic Alignment

Operating under a co-designed 2026–2029 Strategic Plan signed in direct collaboration with the District Medical Officers (DMOs) across our three intervention districts.

Community and Cultural Integration

Partnering closely with traditional, religious, and local community leaders to ensure project interventions are culturally embedded, contextually appropriate, and deeply trusted.

02

Baseline and Counterfactual Analysis

Using baseline evidence to estimate what would happen without THRIVE's interventions.

Measurement will be based on counterfactual analysis derived from the baseline. Baseline findings and available routine health data will inform an estimate of outcomes without THRIVE's interventions. Observed outcomes will be compared with that counterfactual to assess potential added value, taking account of other programmes, contextual changes, and the assumptions and limitations of the analysis.

Phase 1: Past (2023–2026)

Retrospective Analysis

Analyse historical DHIS2 trends in MNCH and respiratory health across our target districts to establish authentic baseline performance.

Phase 2: Baseline (2026–2029)

Counterfactual Trend

Project future health outcomes without THRIVE intervention, accounting for routine MINSANTE services and pre-existing partner programmes.

Phase 3: Target (2026–2029)

Optimised Intervention

Model elevated health outcomes driven by THRIVE’s integrated ISD, HSS, and SBC clinical and community interventions.

Illustrative Measurement Model

Predictive Analytics Model (2023–2029)

This diagram illustrates the analytical approach; it does not present measured results or verified impact estimates.

2026 INCEPTION 0% 30% 60% 90% 2023 2024–2025 2026 (Launch) 2027–2028 2029 (Target) NET ATTRIBUTABLE IMPACT ZONE (THRIVE Attributable Value Add) +42% Target Gain
1. Historical DHIS2 Baseline (2023–2026) [Solid Slate Line]

Verified retrospective health trends in primary care coverage, maternal follow-up, and respiratory screening from Ministry of Health records.

2. Counterfactual Baseline Projection (2026–2029) [Dashed Rose/Slate Line]

Predictive model representing health outcomes in the absence of THRIVE intervention (routine care alone without specialised capacity building).

3. THRIVE Target Projection (2026–2029) [Bold Solid Jade/Teal Gradient Line]

Optimised intervention curve reflecting targeted clinical coverage, non-specialist diagnostic task-shifting, and intensive community SBC.

4. Net Attributable Value-Add [Shaded Area Between Curves]

The difference between observed outcomes and the baseline-derived counterfactual will inform estimates of THRIVE's contribution, subject to the evaluation design and its assumptions.

03

Adaptive ISD, HSS and Research Execution

Balancing operational flexibility with rigorous project management.

Scenario-Based Operational Planning

Defining clear, cost-effective Integrated Service Delivery (ISD), Health Systems Strengthening (HSS), and implementation research activities across both best-case and worst-case resource scenarios for our 2026–2029 plan.

Detailed Activity Alignment

Translating strategic goals into concrete operational workplans (OPs), setting clear milestones, RACI matrix responsibilities, and resource allocations.

04

Transparent Reporting, Evidence Sharing and Policy Advocacy

Turning field research into district-level and national policy change.

Government and Stakeholder Accountability

Sharing real-time progress reports and research publications directly with Regional Delegations and District Medical Officers to guide local health resource decisions.

Scientific Contribution

Publishing implementation research findings in peer-reviewed scientific journals and participating in public health conferences.

Internal Performance Comparison

Benchmarking real-world project outputs continuously against our initial predictive models to refine operations and maximise cost-effectiveness.

Measurement Framework

Detailed monitoring and evaluation plans will connect resources and delivery to measurable changes through inputs, activities, outputs, and short- to medium-term outcomes. Baseline-derived counterfactual analysis will underpin the assessment of those changes.

  1. Inputs

    Define the people, funding, equipment, partnerships, and data needed to deliver each intervention.

  2. Activities

    Specify the implementation, training, community engagement, and research activities to be monitored.

  3. Outputs

    Track the immediate deliverables of those activities, using clearly defined indicators and data sources.

  4. Short-Term Outcomes

    Assess early changes in knowledge, skills, service readiness, and uptake against the baseline.

  5. Medium-Term Outcomes

    Evaluate sustained changes in service coverage, quality of care, and health outcomes relative to the counterfactual.

Each monitoring and evaluation plan will specify indicator definitions, baseline values, targets, data sources, collection frequency, responsibilities, and analysis methods. Findings will guide learning and adaptation. Verified results will be added to the Impact section when available.